NigerianEye.com Opinion Poll Result: Atiku defeats Buhari with slim margin



The 2019 presidential candidate of the People's Democratic Party (PDP) and former Vice President, Atiku Abubakar has defeated President Muhammadu Buhari of the All Progressive Congress (APC) in an online poll conducted on NigerianEye.com



NigerianEye Presidential Opinion Poll

In a bid to test the popularity of the major presidential candidates for the 2019 presidential election, NigerianEye.com decided to conduct an online poll.

The online poll gave readers the opportunity to vote for the candidate they wanted to win the 2019 presidential elections.

The NigerianEye online poll had no room for manipulation, and the transparency of the polling was tested by participants who can see the result when they vote.

The question was - 'Who will you vote for on February 16th?'

FULL RESULTS OF NIGERIANEYE.COM OPINION POLL BELOW


Atiku Abubakar floored President Muhammadu Buhari by a very slim margin to win the online poll conducted by NigerianEye.com

Out of a total valid votes of 17,472 - Atiku Abubakar finished winner of the NigerianEye.com poll with 8,507 votes, representing 48.6% of total valid votes, while President Muhammadu Buhari finished a close second position with 8,007 votes representing 45.8% of total valid votes

Omoyele Sowore finished 3rd position with 517 votes, representing 2.95% of total valid votes



Kingsley Moghalu finished 4th with 323 votes, representing 1.84% of total valid votes



Fela Durotoye finished 5th position with 118 votes, representing 0.67% of total valid votes


A total of 1279 votes/entries were cancelled/invalid as respondents failed to follow instructions and clicked on the 'VOTE NOW' button without selecting any presidential candidate.


How reliable are online polls?

Polls have become indispensable to finding out what people think and how they behave. All polls are surveys based on samples drawn from parent populations. A poll's purpose is to make accurate inferences about that population from what is directly learned about the sample through questions the sampled persons answer.

Online polls are not totally representative and do not always represent public opinion.

“It categorically does not represent public opinion – at best, it may coincide with it,” the BBC says in its Guideline on Opinion Polls, Surveys, Questionnaires, Votes and Straw Polls.

Furthermore, The results of online polls are the opinion of the online population only and they are not a true representation of the majority of the people without internet.

For example on Nigerianeye.com - Nigerians living in the diaspora voted in our online opinion poll, while they will not vote in the election proper.

Another important factor is that readers below 18 years old can participate in online polls, whereas they cannot in the election proper.

Another issue is double voting, a reader can decide to vote with different devices and ips in order to manipulate the results of the poll

Why opinion polls are very important

Despite all it's shortcomings and criticisms, online polling is still a very useful tool of analysis and a major source of public opinion.

In a similar opinion poll conducted by NigerianEye.com in 2015, Muhammadu Buhari defeated Goodluck Jonathan, and when Nigerians queued up to elect their president in 2015, the result was the same.

The same way that a chef can judge the sweetness of a large pot of soup by tasting just one spoonful, providing that the soup has been well stirred, so that the spoonful is properly "representative", one spoonful is sufficient to know the taste of the soup.

Online opinion polls operate on the same principle: achieving representative samples is broadly akin to stirring the soup.

Also a chef could drink a large amount from the top of the soup, and still obtain a misleading view if some of the ingredients have sunk to the bottom. Just as the trick in checking soup is to stir well, rather than to drink lots, and by stirring well here, we have been able to sample the results of different Nigerians.

The essence of a poll is to secure a representative sample, rather than a vast one, so consequently the representative sample will be the pointer to the vast majority.

In general conclusion, while online opinion polls may not be perfect, but they are a very important way of measuring public opinion.
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  1. This is not real cos u can vote as many times as possible...it doesn't reflect the reality of the elections and voting...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Clearly shows you did not read the whole article.

      Typical Nigerian!

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  2. you are just decieving your self.people you are asking to voteing do they have voters card? so confusing your self

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  3. Its easier to vote online than to queue up to vote. Some that voted online may not have PVC or not chance to vote like the case of security officers and journalist.thanks

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  4. This is a true reflextref of what Nigerians want. Atiku all the way. I already see Atiku as Nigeria president. But my advice is, tose that loot Nigeria during the GEJ era should be prosecuted. Building the economy doesn't stop you from fighting corruption.

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    Replies
    1. hmmm. ..then u a big deceit for life. there is not gonna be any improvement in the economy if at all there is gonna be an economy at all. even with his supposedly massive investment in Adam away, the state still remain one of the poprest in the country.. he is coming back to sell the remaining asset's and grant free day for looters...I pity ur generation

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    2. hmmm. ..then u a big deceit for life. there is not gonna be any improvement in the economy if at all there is gonna be an economy at all. even with his supposedly massive investment in Adam away, the state still remain one of the poprest in the country.. he is coming back to sell the remaining asset's and grant free day for looters...I pity ur generation

      Delete
    3. oluwaseyi who do you want us to vote???

      Delete
  5. Atiku all the way, buhari said he is fighting curruptiin?? No, all I see is that he his fighting opposition patty not corruption,if u are in other party u are a tiv, but when u decamp to APC u are now a st over night, eg Apkabio is a Tiv, now he is a st in APC because he is supporting buhari

    ReplyDelete
  6. Atiku all the way, buhari said he is fighting curruptiin?? No, all I see is that he his fighting opposition patty not corruption,if u are in other party u are a tiv, but when u decamp to APC u are now a st over night, eg Apkabio is a Tiv, now he is a st in APC because he is supporting buhari there so many of them. Buhari is a man fill with sentimental, tribalism, Religionalism etc

    ReplyDelete
  7. Atiku is for Nigeria... Nigerians stands with Atiku. We are tired of poverty and killings in this country, Buhari must go back to Daura. Insha Allah Atiku is the right man for us...

    ReplyDelete

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