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Nigeria needs $410bn additional investment for net-zero pathway - Shettima



Vice-President Kashim Shettima says Nigeria needs about $410 billion in additional investment by 2060 to achieve its net-zero pathway.

 

Shettima spoke on Tuesday at the second edition of the Decarbonising Infrastructure in Nigeria (DIN) Summit in Abuja.

 

The summit, held at the United Nations House in Abuja, was organised by the office of the vice-president with support from the National Council on Climate Change and the United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO).

 

It was themed, ‘De-risking Green Infrastructure Investment in Nigeria: Enabling Policy, Project Readiness and Risk-Sharing Solutions’.

 

 

Represented by Ibrahim Hadejia, his deputy chief of staff, the vice president said the funding requirement presented a significant opportunity for domestic and foreign investors.

 

“Our energy transition plan estimates that Nigeria will require about $410 billion in additional investment above business-as-usual through 2060 to achieve our net-zero pathway,” Shettima said.

 

“That is a significant financing requirement. But it also tells us something else: there is a very large investment opportunity ahead of us.”

 

 

He said government could not provide all the capital required to finance Nigeria’s long-term energy and infrastructure needs, stressing the need for stronger public-private partnerships and risk-sharing mechanisms.

 

“We need the private sector. We need development finance institutions. We need domestic financial institutions and institutional investors. And, perhaps most importantly, we need projects that are properly prepared and capable of attracting that capital,” he said.

 

Shettima said the challenge was no longer a lack of climate policies or ambitions but the ability to convert them into projects that investors could assess, finance and implement.

 

He said investors needed clarity on policy, credible revenue models, adequate technical preparation and clear allocation of risks before committing capital.

 

 

“These are practical questions. And I believe that is where DIN Summit 2.0 can make a useful contribution,” he said.

 

The vice president said Nigeria’s NDC 3.0 recognised the need to develop a stronger pipeline of projects with viable financing propositions, increase private-sector participation and improve access to climate finance.

 

$27.2BN ANNUAL FINANCING GAP

Philbert Johnson, UNIDO sub-regional representative in Nigeria and ECOWAS, said Nigeria’s physical infrastructure investment needs were estimated at about $3 trillion by 2050.

 

Johnson said tracked climate finance flows into Nigeria averaged only $2.5 billion annually in 2021 and 2022, compared with estimated annual requirements of $29.7 billion.

 

 

He said the figures represented an annual financing gap of about $27.2 billion.

 

The UNIDO official identified policy and regulatory uncertainty, fragmented approval processes, unclear institutional mandates and undefined revenue or offtake arrangements as some of the factors preventing projects from attracting financing.

 

 

“These projects sit at very different stages of maturity, from concepts which require feasibility work to projects ready to seek finance,” he said.

 

Johnson called for the operationalisation of the Climate Change Act and sanctity of power purchase agreements to help unlock carbon finance in Nigeria and across Africa.

 

 

He said UNIDO would support project development through its Computer Model for Feasibility Analysis and Reporting (COMFAR) software and Digital Investment Promotion platform.

 

According to him, the tools are already used by more than 11,000 practitioners across 160 countries.

 

 

Musaddiq Adamu, personal assistant to the president on subnational infrastructure, said the DIN summit was designed to answer a practical question: what would it take to move green infrastructure projects from ideas to investment?

 

Adamu said the initiative had conducted pre-summit workshops covering energy, transport, urban development and agriculture.

 

He recalled that the inaugural summit attracted more than 400 stakeholders and resulted in a green infrastructure investment pipeline and policy communiqué.

 

Adamu cited the electrification of port operations as one outcome of the initiative, saying engagements following a presentation by APM Terminals at the 2025 summit contributed to a $60 million agreement with the Nigerian Ports Authority.

 

He said Onne Port was being positioned to become Nigeria’s first green port.

 

“For me, that is an important lesson. The objective is not simply to have a good conversation. The goal is to create real investment opportunity,” Adamu said.

 

Tenioye Majekodunmi, director-general of the National Council on Climate Change, said green infrastructure could create more than 300,000 jobs.

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