A new poll has favoured Bola Tinubu, standard-bearer of the
All Progressives Congress (APC), to win the presidential election.
The Nigerian Human Rights Community (NHRC), which conducted
the poll, said it was based on information obtained from 19,365 people as of
January.
Aside from Tinubu, Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic
Party (PDP), Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP), and Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New
Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) are considered to be leading candidates.
Speaking on Wednesday at a media briefing in Lagos, Taiwo
Adeleye, secretary-general of the NHRC, said 7,940 (41%) of the people
interviewed in the 774 LGAs of the 36 states and the federal capital territory
(FCT) preferred Tinubu.
The secretary-general also said 5,035 (26%) preferred
Abubakar; 4,067 (21%) supported Obi, and 1,743 (9%) rooted for Kwankwaso.
“The NHRC poll revealed that the presidential candidate of
the All Progressives Congress (APC), Bola Ahmed Tinubu, holds a magnificent
lead and is on course to win the 2023 general election,” Adeleye said.
“The poll also confirms a two-horse race for the second position
between Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party and Peter Obi of the
Labour Party, while Rabiu Kwankwaso of the NNPP came a distant fourth, as all
other contestants together scored an insignificant total.”
Lagos, Ogun, Oyo, Osun, Ondo, Ekiti, Cross River, Kwara,
Kogi, Nasarawa, Niger, Kaduna, Zamfara, Jigawa, Borno, Yobe, and Gombe are the
17 states the poll predicted a win for Tinubu.
The poll also indicated that Tinubu will secure at least 25
percent of votes in the following states — Imo, Ebonyi, Edo, Benue, Plateau,
FCT, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Sokoto, Adamawa, Bauchi, and Taraba; while Abubakar
is expected to win in seven states listed as Adamawa, Taraba, Sokoto, Edo, Akwa
Ibom, Bayelsa, and Delta.
The poll predicted a victory for Kwankwaso only in his home
state of Kano, while for Obi, he is expected to win in Anambra, Enugu, Imo,
Ebonyi, Abia, Benue, and Rivers.
The NHRC listed Tinubu’s advantage to include his Islamic
background, as well as support from APC governors.
“He holds a slight
advantage in Kaduna where Peter Obi and Atiku Abubakar are jostling for the
second position,” Adeleye said.
“Muslim men and women of Yoruba extract favour his candidacy
while he also has the backing of the majority of Muslims in the north.
“It is expected that he comfortably leads in Cross River
state as a result of the broad-based voter support the Cross River state
governor has within this state.
“He has considerable support in states where the incumbent
governor is a member of the APC.”
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